Robert Woods Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Robert Woods

NFL · Player Props

Robert Woods

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 4:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Robert Woods Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 8th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.
Robert Woods has run a route on 89.5% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 88th percentile among wide receivers.
Robert Woods has been among the best wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.3 receptions per game while ranking in the 84th percentile.
The Indianapolis Colts safeties project as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Titans to run the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.3%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (62.3%).

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