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Robert Woods

Robert Woods Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Robert Woods Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • Robert Woods has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 20.0% this year, which ranks him in the 78th percentile among wideouts.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers rank as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
  • The Tennessee Titans have faced a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 52.7 plays per game.
  • The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.

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