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Robert Woods

Robert Woods Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Houston Texans vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Robert Woods Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 132.0 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.
  • The Houston Texans have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.6 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Robert Woods has totaled many more air yards this year (63.0 per game) than he did last year (42.0 per game).
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Texans profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Houston Texans offensive scheme to tilt 1.4% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik now calling the plays.
  • With a 5.5-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, implying more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.5% pass rate.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Cardinals, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 32.6 per game) this year.
  • Robert Woods's 76.1% Route Participation Rate this season illustrates a noteable diminishment in his passing attack usage over last season's 87.4% mark.

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