Robert Woods Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Robert Woods

NFL · Player Props

Robert Woods

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 4:15 PM EST

Analysis

Robert Woods Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 8th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.
Robert Woods has run a route on 89.5% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 88th percentile among wide receivers.
Robert Woods has put up a colossal 61.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 76th percentile among wideouts.
Robert Woods has been among the leading wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 61.0 yards per game while checking in at the 88th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Titans to run the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has allowed the 5th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 134.0) to WRs since the start of last season.

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