Robert Woods Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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NFL · Player Props

Robert Woods

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tennessee Titans · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Robert Woods Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Titans to run the 7th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Robert Woods has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 20.0% this year, which puts him in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.
The Tennessee Titans have gone up against a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans have used play action on 30.3% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (7th-most in football), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.7 plays per game.
Robert Woods has posted quite a few less air yards this season (42.0 per game) than he did last season (64.0 per game).
The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Robert Woods has notched quite a few less receiving yards per game (37.0) this season than he did last season (67.0).