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Robert Woods

Robert Woods Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Robert Woods Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Titans to run the 7th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Robert Woods has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 20.0% this year, which puts him in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.
  • The Tennessee Titans have gone up against a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Tennessee Titans have used play action on 30.3% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (7th-most in football), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.7 plays per game.
  • Robert Woods has posted quite a few less air yards this season (42.0 per game) than he did last season (64.0 per game).
  • The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Robert Woods has notched quite a few less receiving yards per game (37.0) this season than he did last season (67.0).

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