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Robert Woods

Robert Woods Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tennessee Titans vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Robert Woods Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -133.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 4th-most in football.
  • Robert Woods has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 20.4% this year, which puts him in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.
  • The Denver Broncos defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-most sluggish in the league since the start of last season.
  • The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Tennessee Titans have used play action on 30.3% of their passing plays since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 52.0 plays per game.
  • Robert Woods has totaled far fewer air yards this year (36.0 per game) than he did last year (64.0 per game).
  • The Tennessee Titans offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

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