Robert Woods Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

NFL · Player Props

Robert Woods

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Denver Broncos · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

Robert Woods Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 4th-most in football.
Robert Woods has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 20.4% this year, which puts him in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.
The Denver Broncos defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-most sluggish in the league since the start of last season.
The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans have used play action on 30.3% of their passing plays since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 52.0 plays per game.
Robert Woods has totaled far fewer air yards this year (36.0 per game) than he did last year (64.0 per game).
The Tennessee Titans offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.