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Robert Woods

Robert Woods Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans

Robert Woods Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+358/-706).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -574 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -706.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

Opposing teams have averaged 43.3 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in the league.

THE BLITZ projects Robert Woods to be a more integral piece of his team's passing game near the end zone this week (22.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (14.3% in games he has played).

Robert Woods's 47.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the NFL: 77th percentile for WRs.

Robert Woods's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 66.1% to 71.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 52.7 plays per game.

Robert Woods has posted far fewer air yards this year (37.0 per game) than he did last year (64.0 per game).

The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers profile as the 8th-best LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

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