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Robert Woods

Robert Woods Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans

Robert Woods Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+235/-372).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -330 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -372.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects Robert Woods to be much more involved in his team's pass game near the end zone this week (23.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (18.2% in games he has played).

Robert Woods's 46.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 77th percentile for WRs.

Robert Woods's possession skills have improved this season, with his Completion% increasing from 66.1% to 74.5%.

The Washington Commanders pass defense has conceded the 10th-highest Completion% in the NFL (68.9%) vs. wideouts this year (68.9%).

The Washington Commanders defense has yielded the most passing touchdowns in football to wideouts: 1.75 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Titans to call the 6th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 50.5 plays per game.

Robert Woods has notched far fewer air yards this season (44.0 per game) than he did last season (64.0 per game).

The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

The Tennessee Titans O-line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

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