Robert Tonyan Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Robert Tonyan

NFL · Player Props

Robert Tonyan

TE · Pittsburgh Steelers

Touchdowns

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 25, 2026 11:03 AM EST

Analysis

Robert Tonyan Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+3348/-19900).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is indicated by the Steelers being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.
The model projects the Steelers to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (64.5% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Steelers.
Our trusted projections expect the Steelers offense to be the 2nd-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.27 seconds per snap.
When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

With a feeble 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (1st percentile) since the start of last season, Robert Tonyan stands among the TEs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the league.
Robert Tonyan has posted a meager 0.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 2nd percentile when it comes to TEs.
Robert Tonyan places in just the 3rd percentile among tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) with a feeble 0.3 figure since the start of last season.
Opposing offenses have run for the 9th-most TDs in the league (1.05 per game) versus the Bengals defense since the start of last season.

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