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Robert Tonyan

Robert Tonyan Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears

Robert Tonyan Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a heavy 9.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Bears as the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projections to call only 63.9 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.

Robert Tonyan Jr. has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (21.0% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (60.5%).

When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

Robert Tonyan Jr.'s pass-catching performance worsened this season, notching just 1.1 adjusted receptions vs 3.1 last season.

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