Robert Tonyan Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Robert Tonyan

NFL · Player Props

Robert Tonyan

TE · Chicago Bears

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 10, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Robert Tonyan Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Panthers safeties grade out as the worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to pass rush.

Favors Under

The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 47.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see only 125.5 total plays called: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Panthers, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.4 per game) this year.
Robert Tonyan Jr. has gone out for fewer passes this year (21.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (60.5%).

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