Robert Tonyan Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Robert Tonyan

NFL · Player Props

Robert Tonyan

TE · Green Bay Packers

Receptions

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 11:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Robert Tonyan Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-106).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 4th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 65.2% pass rate.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Robert Tonyan has run a route on 64.0% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 86th percentile among tight ends.
The Chicago Bears defensive ends grade out as the 5th-worst group of DEs in the league since the start of last season in regard to pass rush.
The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Packers are a big 10-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in football.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.4%) versus TEs since the start of last season (64.4%).
The Green Bay Packers O-line has afforded their quarterback just 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

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