Robert Tonyan Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Robert Tonyan

NFL · Player Props

Robert Tonyan

TE · Green Bay Packers

Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Robert Tonyan Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-113/-113).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Robert Tonyan to accumulate 4.8 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among TEs.
Robert Tonyan has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 14.1% this year, which puts him in the 84th percentile among tight ends.
The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Robert Tonyan's receiving talent has improved this season, accumulating 3.8 yards per game vs a measly 2.3 last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 30.07 seconds per play.
The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has given up the 2nd-lowest Completion% in football (60.6%) to tight ends this year (60.6%).
The Philadelphia Eagles linebackers rank as the 9th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
The Green Bay Packers O-line has given their QB a measly 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

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