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Robert Tonyan

Robert Tonyan Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Robert Tonyan Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-160).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 64.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 36.2 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in football.
  • Robert Tonyan has run a route on 66.8% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 85th percentile among TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has surrendered the 5th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.2%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (64.2%).
  • The Minnesota Vikings linebackers project as the 7th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
  • The Green Bay Packers offensive line has allowed their QB a mere 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

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