Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Robert Tonyan

NFL · Player Props

Robert Tonyan

TE · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 8:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs this week, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their standard game plan.
The Vikings defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (37.0 per game) this year.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 49.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears offense to be the 9th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.72 seconds per snap.
Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being called for in this game) generally prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and higher ground volume.
Robert Tonyan Jr. has been less involved as a potential target this year (21.8% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (60.5%).
After accruing 22.0 air yards per game last year, Robert Tonyan Jr. has produced significantly fewer this year, currently boasting 6.0 per game.

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