Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Robert Tonyan

NFL · Player Props

Robert Tonyan

TE · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 6, 2023 2:41 AM UTC

Analysis

Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-118).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a 6-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
Robert Tonyan Jr. has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL among TEs, hauling in an exceptional 82.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 96th percentile.
As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Washington's unit has been awful this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in football.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Bears to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Bears have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.8 plays per game.
Robert Tonyan Jr. has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (18.8% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (60.5%).
After totaling 22.0 air yards per game last season, Robert Tonyan Jr. has fallen off this season, now averaging 6.0 per game.

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