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Robert Tonyan

Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a massive 7.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Detroit's group of safeties has been lousy this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Chicago Bears as the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bears are anticipated by the projections to call only 60.8 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Robert Tonyan Jr.'s 22.8% Route Participation Rate this season marks a noteable diminishment in his pass game workload over last season's 60.5% figure.
  • Robert Tonyan Jr. has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (5.0 per game) than he did last year (22.0 per game).
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Bears ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year.

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