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Robert Tonyan

Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: most in the league.
  • Robert Tonyan has run a route on 62.9% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 86th percentile among TEs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Robert Tonyan to accrue 4.1 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 80th percentile among TEs.
  • Robert Tonyan has compiled a colossal 28.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 81st percentile among tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 119.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has excelled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.50 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-least in the NFL.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 4th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
  • The Green Bay Packers O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.44 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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