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Robert Tonyan

Robert Tonyan Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

Washington Commanders vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Robert Tonyan Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+270/-370).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Green Bay Packers have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.5 plays per game.
  • Robert Tonyan has been a key part of his team's pass game near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 17.2% this year, which ranks in the 87th percentile among TEs.
  • Robert Tonyan's 30.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 24.7.
  • Robert Tonyan's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 70.8% to 87.4%.
  • The Green Bay Packers have used some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their play-calls since the start of last season (6th-most in the league), which usually keeps the defense guessing and improves offensive efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
  • Robert Tonyan has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (24.0 per game) than he did last year (32.0 per game).
  • The Washington Commanders pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (56.8%) versus tight ends this year (56.8%).

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