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Robert Tonyan

Robert Tonyan Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 2

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Robert Tonyan Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+209/-318).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +226 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +209.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Robert Tonyan has totaled a whopping 32.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 85th percentile among TEs.
  • Robert Tonyan's 24.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 84th percentile for TEs.
  • The Chicago Bears defensive ends grade out as the 5th-worst group of DEs in the league since the start of last season in regard to pass rush.
  • The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a big 10-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in football.
  • The Chicago Bears pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.4%) versus TEs since the start of last season (64.4%).
  • The Chicago Bears defense has given up the 9th-least TDs through the air in the league to TEs: 0.28 per game since the start of last season.

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