Robert Tonyan Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Robert Tonyan

NFL · Player Props

Robert Tonyan

TE · Green Bay Packers

Receiving TD

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 11:45 PM UTC

Analysis

Robert Tonyan Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+209/-318).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +226 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +209.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Robert Tonyan has totaled a whopping 32.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 85th percentile among TEs.
Robert Tonyan's 24.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 84th percentile for TEs.
The Chicago Bears defensive ends grade out as the 5th-worst group of DEs in the league since the start of last season in regard to pass rush.
The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Packers are a big 10-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in football.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.4%) versus TEs since the start of last season (64.4%).
The Chicago Bears defense has given up the 9th-least TDs through the air in the league to TEs: 0.28 per game since the start of last season.

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