My Account Log Out

reorder

Robert Tonyan

Robert Tonyan Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers

Robert Tonyan Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+328/-612).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +330 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +328.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

Robert Tonyan's 27.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 81st percentile for TEs.

The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Robert Tonyan's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 70.8% to 82.6%.

The Green Bay Packers have incorporated some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their play-calls since the start of last season (6th-most in the league), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 30.07 seconds per play.

The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Robert Tonyan has notched significantly fewer air yards this year (25.0 per game) than he did last year (32.0 per game).

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has given up the 2nd-lowest Completion% in football (60.6%) to tight ends this year (60.6%).

The Philadelphia Eagles linebackers rank as the 9th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

More Robert Tonyan Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™