Robby Anderson Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Robby Anderson

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving TD

Los Angeles Rams vs Carolina Panthers · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Robby Anderson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+367/-736).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -732 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -736.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Panthers are a massive 10-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense as the 2nd-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.28 seconds per play.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Robby Anderson has been a key part of his team's pass game near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 18.2% this year, which ranks him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.
Robby Anderson's 49.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 80th percentile for wideouts.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-least in the league.
Robby Anderson has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (63.0 per game) than he did last season (68.0 per game).
Robby Anderson's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 49.5% to 46.3%.
The Carolina Panthers offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
The Los Angeles Rams defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.