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River Cracraft

River Cracraft Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
River Cracraft Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -210 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 64.1% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects River Cracraft to be much more involved in his offense's pass game this week (14.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (4.7% in games he has played).
  • The Denver Broncos cornerbacks grade out as the 7th-worst collection of CBs in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a 6-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.2 plays per game.
  • River Cracraft has been among the bottom WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 1.4 receptions per game while grading out in the 22nd percentile among WRs.

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