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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Atlanta Falcons vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -131.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 138.0 total plays called: the highest number among all games this week.
  • The Cowboys have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 59.3 plays per game.
  • Rico Dowdle has been a more important option in his team's rushing attack this season (45.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (18.5%).
  • Rico Dowdle has run for many more adjusted yards per game (39.0) this season than he did last season (23.0).
  • This year, the porous Falcons run defense has given up a colossal 138.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 10th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 35.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.
  • Rico Dowdle grades out as one of the bottom RBs in the NFL at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging a measly 2.42 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 8th percentile.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Atlanta's collection of DTs has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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