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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions

Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 41.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 66.4 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.

The Cowboys have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 60.4 plays per game.

The predictive model expects Rico Dowdle to total 13.3 rush attempts this week, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile among running backs.

After taking on 18.5% of his offense's carries last year, Rico Dowdle has been called on more in the rushing attack this year, currently comprising 46.4%.

Rico Dowdle's 42.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season signifies a substantial improvement in his running ability over last season's 23.0 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to run on 37.5% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

With a very bad record of 2.48 yards after contact (20th percentile) this year, Rico Dowdle stands as one of the least powerful RBs in football.

This year, the stout Lions run defense has given up a puny 84.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 3rd-fewest in football.

The Lions safeties profile as the 7th-best safety corps in football this year with their run defense.

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