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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys

Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line implies a running game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 4 points.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Cowboys since the start of last season (a massive 60.6 per game on average).

Dallas's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too high (and rushing stats reduced) in light of playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some correction with windier weather in this week's contest.

After comprising 18.5% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, Rico Dowdle has had a larger role in the run game this year, now making up 35.6%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys to run on 40.6% of their chances: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Rico Dowdle's rushing effectiveness (3.40 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (21st percentile when it comes to running backs).

With a very bad rate of 2.09 yards after contact (13th percentile) this year, Rico Dowdle rates among the least efficient running backs in football.

When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, New York's group of DTs has been excellent since the start of last season, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.

More Rico Dowdle Player Props

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