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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans

Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 57.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.7 plays per game.

The projections expect Rico Dowdle to accumulate 13.4 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among RBs.

Rico Dowdle has been much more involved in his team's rushing attack this season (47.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (18.5%).

Rico Dowdle's 44.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year conveys an impressive growth in his running proficiency over last year's 23.0 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys may lean on the pass less this week (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Cooper Rush.

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Cowboys being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to run on 39.4% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

With a terrible total of 2.86 yards after contact (24th percentile) this year, Rico Dowdle has been as one of the least formidable running backs in the NFL.

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