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Rico Dowdle
NFL · Player Props
Rico Dowdle
RB · Dallas Cowboys
Rushing Yards
Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders · Week 12, 2023 Updated Nov 23, 2023 8:36 PM UTC
NFL Props Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards

Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -120.

Favors Over
  • This week's spread implies an extreme running game script for the Cowboys, who are a huge favorite by 13.5 points.
  • The predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys to run the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Cowboys have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
  • Rico Dowdle has been a more important option in his team's run game this year (17.5% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (0.0%).
  • Rico Dowdle's running efficiency (4.51 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (80th percentile among RBs).
Favors Under
  • The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys offense to tilt 6.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
  • At the present time, the 9th-least run-centric team in the league (36.6% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Dallas Cowboys.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Washington's unit has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 8th-best in the league.
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