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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys are a 5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 62.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Cowboys to call the most total plays among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 60.3 plays per game.
  • Our trusted projections expect Rico Dowdle to total 3.2 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to lessened passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher ground volume.
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Cowboys profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco's LB corps has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.

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