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Rico Dowdle
NFL · Player Props
Rico Dowdle
RB · Dallas Cowboys
Receptions
Dallas Cowboys vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 13, 2023 Updated Dec 1, 2023 2:41 AM UTC
NFL Props Rico Dowdle Receptions

Rico Dowdle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-166/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +130.

Favors Over
  • The Cowboys boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 7.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • Right now, the 8th-most pass-oriented offense in football (63.6% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Cowboys.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
  • The Seahawks safeties project as the 7th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in defending receivers.
Favors Under
  • This game's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Cowboys, who are a massive favorite by 9.5 points.
  • Opposing squads have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the league (in a neutral context) against the Cowboys defense this year, averaging 28.19 seconds per play.
  • With a feeble 0.9 adjusted catches per game (25th percentile) this year, Rico Dowdle has been as one of the worst running backs in the pass game in the NFL.
  • This year, the formidable Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded a paltry 76.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 4th-smallest rate in the NFL.
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