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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys are a 5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 62.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects the Cowboys to call the most total plays among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Dallas Cowboys have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 60.3 plays per game.

Our trusted projections expect Rico Dowdle to total 3.2 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to lessened passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher ground volume.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Cowboys profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.

Rico Dowdle's 6.6 adjusted yards per target this year shows a remarkable drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last year's 7.4 figure.

Rico Dowdle's 6.56 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a material decrease in his efficiency in space over last year's 10.0% mark.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco's LB corps has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.

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