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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans

Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys may lean on the pass less this week (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Cooper Rush.

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Cowboys being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 60.6% of their plays: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.7 plays per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Texans, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 32.3 per game) this year.

The Dallas offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Rico Dowdle's pass-catching effectiveness has declined this season, accumulating just 6.00 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.44 rate last season.

Rico Dowdle's 6.17 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a meaningful decrease in his efficiency in space over last year's 10.0% mark.

This year, the tough Texans defense has given up a mere 76.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 3rd-lowest rate in the NFL.

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