My Account Log Out

reorder

Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Cleveland Browns vs Dallas Cowboys

Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-122/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to have 134.7 total plays run: the most among all games this week.

The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Cowboys last year (a staggering 60.4 per game on average).

The Dallas Cowboys O-line profiles as the 5th-best in football last year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all passing game metrics across the board.

Rico Dowdle comes in as one of the most efficient receivers in the NFL among running backs, averaging an exceptional 7.13 adjusted yards-per-target last year while ranking in the 77th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.1 per game) last year.

The Browns pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus RBs last year, yielding 4.97 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.

The Browns pass defense has excelled when opposing running backs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 7.24 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year: the 2nd-fewest in football.

More Rico Dowdle Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™