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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Seattle Seahawks

Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 7.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

Right now, the 8th-most pass-oriented offense in football (63.6% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Cowboys.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.

With an excellent 7.1 adjusted yards per target (76th percentile) this year, Rico Dowdle has been among the leading pass-game RBs in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Cowboys, who are a massive favorite by 9.5 points.

Opposing squads have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the league (in a neutral context) against the Cowboys defense this year, averaging 28.19 seconds per play.

In regards to air yards, Rico Dowdle ranks in the paltry 18th percentile among running backs this year, with just -2.0 per game.

This year, the formidable Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded a paltry 76.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 4th-smallest rate in the NFL.

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