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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Carries
Player Prop Week 8

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

Rico Dowdle Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Cowboys to call the most total plays among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Dallas Cowboys have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 60.3 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to lessened passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher ground volume.

Rico Dowdle has been a more important option in his offense's run game this season (45.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (18.5%).

The 49ers safeties profile as the 31st-worst safety corps in the league this year with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are a 5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

The model projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 3rd-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 37.1% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

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