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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Carries
Player Prop Week 6

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions

Rico Dowdle Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 66.4 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.

The Cowboys have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 60.4 plays per game.

The predictive model expects Rico Dowdle to total 13.3 rush attempts this week, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile among running backs.

After taking on 18.5% of his offense's carries last year, Rico Dowdle has been called on more in the rushing attack this year, currently comprising 46.4%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to run on 37.5% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

The Lions safeties profile as the 7th-best safety corps in football this year with their run defense.

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