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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Cleveland Browns vs Dallas Cowboys

Rico Dowdle Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to have 134.7 total plays run: the most among all games this week.

The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Cowboys last year (a staggering 60.4 per game on average).

The Cowboys have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

While Rico Dowdle has accounted for 18.1% of his team's rushing play calls in games he has played last year, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Dallas's rushing attack in this week's contest at 34.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to be the 8th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 39.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

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