Rico Dowdle Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Rico Dowdle

NFL · Player Props

Rico Dowdle

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Rico Dowdle Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+106/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rico Dowdle has been much more involved in his offense's run game this season (17.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (0.0%).

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 4.9% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3-point underdogs.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cowboys to run on 40.0% of their plays: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
At the moment, the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cowboys.
The Philadelphia Eagles defensive tackles project as the 6th-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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