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Richie James

Richie James Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Richie James Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+136/-179).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +136.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.
  • Richie James has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL, hauling in an impressive 90.6% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 97th percentile among wideouts.
  • The New York Giants have used play action on 28.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
  • The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in the league). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The New York Giants have called the least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.7 plays per game.
  • The New York Giants O-line grades out as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has surrendered the lowest Completion% in football (58.3%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (58.3%).
  • The Dallas Cowboys safeties rank as the 6th-best group of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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