Richie James Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Richie James

NFL · Player Props

Richie James

WR · New York Giants

Receptions

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 24, 2022 5:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Richie James Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.0 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.0 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Richie James to garner 7.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 6th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.0% pass rate.
The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
The New York Giants offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game stats across the board.
The New York Giants have utilized motion in their offense on 26.6% of their plays since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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