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Richie James

Richie James Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Richie James Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+407/-881).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -867 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -881.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 42.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects Richie James to be a more important option in his team's passing game near the goal line this week (8.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Richie James grades out in the 1st percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties project as the 10th-best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.
  • The New York Giants O-line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (7th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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