Richie James Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Richie James

NFL · Player Props

Richie James

WR · New York Giants

Receiving TD

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Richie James Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+407/-881).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -867 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -881.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 42.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Richie James to be a more important option in his team's passing game near the goal line this week (8.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
Richie James grades out in the 1st percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties project as the 10th-best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.
The New York Giants O-line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (7th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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