Rhamondre Stevenson Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Touchdowns

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 22, 2026 7:27 PM EST

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+117/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
At the present time, the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL in the red zone (59.7% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Patriots.
Rhamondre Stevenson's 15.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the league leaders: 84th percentile for RBs.
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Patriots profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year.
The Bears defense has been torched for the 10th-most TDs through the air in the NFL to running backs: 0.17 per game this year.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Patriots to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game versus the Bears defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
Out of all RBs, Rhamondre Stevenson grades out in the 75th percentile for red zone carries this year, making up 33.3% of the volume in his offense's rushing attack near the end zone.
After accruing 11.0 air yards per game last year, Rhamondre Stevenson has posted significant losses this year, currently averaging -2.0 per game.
Rhamondre Stevenson's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 86.5% to 82.6%.

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