Rhamondre Stevenson Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 2

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Touchdowns

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+125/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the end zone (59.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the New England Patriots.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to run the 10th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (34.9 per game) since the start of last season.
Rhamondre Stevenson has posted a colossal 10.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 99th percentile when it comes to running backs. (This may not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs have negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
Rhamondre Stevenson slots into the 91st percentile for RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with a superb 18.4 mark since the start of last season.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 8th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Among all RBs, Rhamondre Stevenson ranks in the 81st percentile for red zone rush attempts last year, making up 40.3% of the usage in his offense's running game near the end zone.
Rhamondre Stevenson's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 86.5% to 82.2%.
Rhamondre Stevenson has rushed for 0.39 touchdowns per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the largest marks in the league among running backs (84th percentile).