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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+260/-280).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -290 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -280.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are an enormous 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • At the present time, the 4th-most pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (60.7% in a neutral context) according to the model is the New England Patriots.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • While Rhamondre Stevenson has garnered 0.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in New England's pass game near the end zone in this contest at 11.3%.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has compiled quite a few more air yards this year (8.0 per game) than he did last year (-3.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have only 125.6 offensive plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.
  • The 10th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the New England Patriots this year (a lowly 54.8 per game on average).
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Bills defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson grades out in the 1st percentile among running backs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging just 0.00 per game.
  • The Buffalo Bills pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (77.0%).

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