Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 3, 2026 10:37 PM EST

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-106/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 43.7% rate of rushing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-most run-oriented offense in football has been the Patriots.
Out of all running backs, Rhamondre Stevenson grades out in the 77th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 39.2% of the workload in his team's ground game.
Since the start of last season, the porous Bills run defense has conceded a monstrous 128.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 10th-worst in the NFL.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Buffalo's group of DEs has been dreadful since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league. in the league.

Favors Under

The Patriots are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are projected by our trusted projection set to call only 61.2 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
Rhamondre Stevenson's 3.8 adjusted yards per carry this season represents a remarkable decline in his rushing ability over last season's 4.8 rate.