Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

New England Patriots vs New Orleans Saints · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 54.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 52.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run on 44.8% of their opportunities: the 7th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to have 134.8 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.
The New England Patriots have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 64.8 plays per game.
Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) typically mean worse passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.
In this week's contest, Rhamondre Stevenson is expected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs with 16.2 rush attempts.

Favors Under

Rhamondre Stevenson's 40.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season conveys a a noteable drop-off in his rushing skills over last season's 59.0 rate.
Rhamondre Stevenson's 2.7 adjusted yards per carry this year represents a a noteable reduction in his running talent over last year's 4.8 rate.
Opposing offenses have run for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 100 per game) versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year.
The New Orleans Saints linebackers profile as the best LB corps in the league this year in regard to run defense.

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