Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 56.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect this game to see the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Rhamondre Stevenson has generated 57.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the NFL among RBs (82nd percentile).
Opposing squads have run for the 9th-most yards in the NFL (127 per game) versus the Cowboys defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Patriots are a giant 7-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 7th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 37.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Our trusted projections expect Rhamondre Stevenson to be a less important option in his team's running game in this contest (40.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (53.5% in games he has played).
Rhamondre Stevenson's running efficiency has tailed off this year, compiling just 2.91 yards-per-carry compared to a 4.77 figure last year.

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