My Account Log Out
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 81.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 73.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 81.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 5th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 45.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots offense as the 7th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.53 seconds per snap.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to notch 20.9 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Indianapolis Colts defense has had the 8th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, giving up just 4.37 yards-per-carry.
  • The Indianapolis Colts linebackers grade out as the best collection of LBs in the NFL this year with their run defense.
  • The New England Patriots have gone up against a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The New England Patriots have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.6% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™