Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs New England Patriots · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 7th-most run-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 41.1% run rate.
Rhamondre Stevenson has earned 42.6% of his offense's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
The New England Patriots offensive line profiles as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
Rhamondre Stevenson has averaged 47.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in the league among running backs (76th percentile).
Rhamondre Stevenson has been among the top running backs in the league at generating extra running yardage, averaging a terrific 4.17 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 90th percentile.

Favors Under

The New England Patriots will be rolling out backup QB Brian Hoyer this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Patriots are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 2nd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 3rd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 56.6 plays per game.
The Green Bay Packers linebackers profile as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

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