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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-101/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots have been the 8th-most run-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 39.7% run rate.

The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.

Rhamondre Stevenson has picked up 47.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in football among running backs (78th percentile).

Rhamondre Stevenson has been among the top RBs in the league at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a stellar 3.26 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 80th percentile.

The New England Patriots have used some form of misdirection on 52.8% of their play-calls since the start of last season (8th-most in the league), which masks an offenses true intentions and may make them more effective.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 58.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New England Patriots have called the 9th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 60.7 plays per game.

The Miami Dolphins defensive ends grade out as the 5th-best unit in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

The New England Patriots have been faced with a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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